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Storm Prediction Center Outlook Day 4-8

Outlook Day 1 Outlook Day 2 Outlook Day 3 Outlook Day 4-8

Day 4-8 Severe Weather Outlook. A depicted severe weather area indicates a 30% or higher probability for severe thunderstorms within 25 miles of a point.
D4 Mon, Nov 27, 2017 - Tue, Nov 28, 2017 D7 Thu, Nov 30, 2017 - Fri, Dec 01, 2017
D5 Tue, Nov 28, 2017 - Wed, Nov 29, 2017 D8 Fri, Dec 01, 2017 - Sat, Dec 02, 2017
D6 Wed, Nov 29, 2017 - Thu, Nov 30, 2017 (All days are valid from 12 UTC - 12 UTC the following day)
Note: A severe weather area depicted in the Day 4-8 period indicates a 30% or higher probability for severe thunderstorms within 25 miles of any point.
PREDICTABILITY TOO LOW is used to indicate severe storms may be possible based on some model scenarios. However, the location or occurrence of severe storms are in doubt due to: 1) large differences in the deterministic model solutions, 2) large spread in the ensemble guidance, and/or 3) minimal run-to-run continuity.
POTENTIAL TOO LOW means the threat for a regional area of organized severe storms appears highly unlikely during the entire period (e.g. less than a 30% probability for a regional severe storm area across the CONUS through the entire Day 4-8 period).

Forecast Discussion for Outlook Day 4-8