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Storm Prediction Center Outlook Day 3

Outlook Day 1 Outlook Day 2 Outlook Day 3 Outlook Day 4-8

Severe Thunderstorm Risk Categories
NWS defines a severe thunderstorm as measured wind gusts to at least 58 MPH, and/or hail to at least one inch in diameter, and/or a tornado. All thunderstorm categories imply lightning and the potential for flooding. Categories are also tied to the probability of a severe weather event within 25 miles of your location.
THUNDERSTORMS
No Severe
Thunderstorms Expected
Lightning/flooding
threats exist with
all thunderstorms.
● Winds to 40 MPH
● Small hail
MARGINAL
Isolated Severe
Thunderstorms Expected
Limited in duration
and/or coverage
and/or intensity.
● Winds to 40–60 MPH
● Hail up to 1 inch
● Low tornado risk
SLIGHT
Scattered Severe
Thunderstorms Expected
Short-lived and/or not
widespread, isolated
intense storms possible.
● One or two tornadoes
● Reports of strong
 winds/wind damage
● Hail approx 1 inch,
 isolated 2 inch
ENHANCED
Numerous Severe
Thunderstorms Expected
More persistent
and/or widespread,
a few intense.
● A few tornadoes
● Several reports of
 wind damage
● Damaging hail, 1-2 inch
MODERATE
Widespread Severe
Thunderstorms Expected
Long-lived
widespread,
and intense.
● Strong tornadoes
● Widespread wind
 damage
● Destructive hail, approx
 2 inches plus
HIGH
Widespread Severe
Thunderstorms Expected
Long-lived, very
widespread and
particularly intense.
● Tornado outbreak
● Derecho

Forecast Discussion for Outlook Day 3